mathematical foretelling USING THE BOX-JENKINS methodological analysis good BRIEFING JOSEPH GEORGE CALDWELL, PHD © 2007 JOSEPH GEORGE CALDWELL. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. affix AT INTERNET WEBSITES http://www.foundationwebsite.org AND http://www.foundation.bw . whitethorn BE COPIED OR REPOSTED FOR NONCOMMERCIAL USE, WITH ATTRIBUTION. Note: The document The Box-Jenkins anticipate Technique, stick on at http://www.foundationwebsite.org/BoxJenkins.htm , presents a nontechnical comment of the Box-Jenkins methodology. For a technical description of the Box-Jenkins approach, see the document, TIMES Box-Jenkins anticipation System, stick on at http://www.foundationwebsite.org/TIMESVol1TechnicalBackground.htm . A computer platform that quarter be used to develop a wide-cut severalise of Box-Jenkins models is posted at the Foundation website, http://www.foundationwebsite.org (6 February 2009). BRIEFING cause MAP 1. MATHEMATICAL omen CONCEPTS (20-30 MINU TES) 2. TECHNICAL INTRODUCTION TO THE BOX-JENKINS methodology (20-30) 3. FORECASTING ACCURACY COMPARISONS (5-10) 4. illustration BUILDING WITH THE BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY (40-60) 5. drill TO econometric AND CONTROL PROBLEMS (10-15) 1.
MATHEMATICAL FORECASTING CONCEPTS MATHEMATICAL FORECASTING METHODOLOGY (FORECASTER) BASED ON A MATHEMATICAL theoretical account OF THE PROCESS TWO APPROACHES assume qualified (INTUITIVE, heuristic rule) seat BUILDING (THEORETICAL FOUNDATION) HEURISTIC FORECASTERS A bad-tempered MODEL IS FITTED TO DATA EXAMPLES: MOVING AVERAGE EX PONENTIAL SMOOTHING TRENDS, CURVES, HARMONI! CS, PATTERNS near FIT ? upright FORECAST? skillful MODEL ? GOOD FORECAST NEED TO BUILD A GOOD MODEL MODEL BUILDING lead A COMPREHENSIVE part OF MODELS IDENTIFICATION FITTING DIAGNOSTIC CHECKING REPEAT UNTIL able MODEL CONSTRUCTED CLASSES OF MODELS (FOR PREDICTION AND CONTROL) ECONOMETRIC MODELS DYNAMIC CAUSAL MODEL (MANY VARIABLES) ...If you urgency to get a full essay, order it on our website:
BestEssayCheap.comIf you want to get a full essay, visit our page:
cheap essay
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.